Probability of me getting a girlfriend

Sha May 1, 2008 19
uncle-sha-dates1.jpg

Of course I’m always on the lookout for my boo

This entry is my own chances of meeting my Miss Right inspired via this.

Hilarious you think? I think not lah. Approaching 30 years old, single for the past two years, dozen or so relationships, countless dates, it’s beginning to worry me if I’ll lead a life of chastity

Here are my chances of finding a girlfriend in Singapore. What are my odds of me getting happily attached …

Number of people in Singapore (in 2006): 3,608,000 [1]

I work with the largest demographic, Singapore population. Total population comprises Singapore residents and non-residents. Resident population comprises Singapore citizens and permanent residents. I decide to count only Singapore residents

Number who are female (in 2006): 1,820,000 [2]

Obviously I want to date females. I’ve yet to go astray, I’ve not lost hope lah. That will be my last option of course. By a long shot if I do turn crooked, I would settle for someone effeminate looking lah, someone like Utt … haha

Number who are female aged 20 to 44 (in 2006): 726,000 [3]

I would prefer mature women in fact or someone closer to my age, as I want to grow old with her and not having a pedophiles nor ‘father-daughter’ image when out in public. But still someone older or younger than me, I wouldn’t mind. Age doesn’t really matter as long there’s chemistry and we get along fine. I stop short of 44 years old as I want children in my life. Anyone older, I think it will be a risk or harder for Ms Right to bear any offspring

Number who are beautiful: 16,517 [4]

Beauty is subjective as we all know. I’ve my own personal preferences, so does everyone. But as long you’re presentable, I’m ok with it. I keep myself in fit and I can be vain too, so my gal should be too. Beautiful couple make beautiful babies, tio? … I made use of the probability formula via the source which is two standard deviations above the norm. From basic statistics theory, the area to the left of the normal curve at z = 2, multiply to aged 20 to 44 population pool


prob-gf1.jpg

Number who are intelligent: 2,620

Again intelligent is another virtue that have varying meanings on different level for various people. Well I had to use the source formula as I agree with him that such intelligence has a notionally normal distribution across the population. I will settle for someone a mere one standard deviation above the normal; which means a new figure will be gathered

prob-gf2.jpg

Number who are not already committed: 1,066 [5]

Those not committed which means single, divorce/separated and widowed stands at 40.7% of total Singapore population. So the previous current intelligent figure (40.7% of 2,620) who is not committed now stands at 1,066

Number who also might like me: 533

Getting a suitable girl to like you back depends on personal attractiveness preference and I believe it is normally distributed. So we put it at 50% chance that any given female will consider me even marginally attractive. So 50% of 1,066 is 533

Conclusion

So my pool of possible ladies is 533 acceptable females in Singapore. Somewhere out there in Singapore, a female lady aged between 20-44 who is beautiful and intelligent plus unattached and importantly she is interested in me. To find this certain lady of mine, if I were to go on a date every two weeks, I would have to date for the next 214 weeks before I found one suitable lady of the 533 females. And 214 weeks is around four years. A typical male Singapore life expectancy is 77 years old, so the above figures assures me that I can find a girlfriend in no time before I hit my forties! That is if I start dating every two weeks non-stop from now. That means I would find my new girlfriend way before I kaput, haha. This gives me plenty of hope … A New Hope (Star Wars theme song starts)

References

  1. Population (Mid-Year Estimates) Singapore Department of Statistics – Last updated 4 Feb 2008
  2. Singapore Resident by Age Group – Last updated 2007
  3. Singapore Resident Growth per thousand – Last updated 2007
  4. There’s no data distribution on beauty as it is a subjective trait – in any reasonably large group of people, most of them will be average-looking, and a tiny minority either exceedingly beautiful or exceedingly ugly
  5. Singapore Resident by Martial Status – Last updated 2007

19 Comments »

  1. Fadzuli May 1, 2008 at 8:54 pm - Reply

    Wah ada integration formulas lagi…You’ll get your partner someday!!

    • Uncle Sha May 1, 2008 at 9:41 pm - Reply

      Muahaha … Otak dah tak center

  2. sufyan May 2, 2008 at 12:04 am - Reply

    UncleSha the next Einstein?

    Any formulas for predicting football matches correctly? =P

    • Uncle Sha May 2, 2008 at 12:21 am - Reply

      Hahaha, trust me I just know basic Math la, plus, minus, divide jer

      Actually my picks for soccer is at around 72% correct so far

      You tell me what match, and I’ll tell you the winner

  3. fitree May 2, 2008 at 12:05 am - Reply

    you know what… i believe that these things come when you least expect it. so who knows when you go down to buy your prata next time, you may see your future wife….

    who is the daughter of the makcik from the nasi lemak stall next door. :p

    • Uncle Sha May 2, 2008 at 12:24 am - Reply

      Ahh the law of attraction is always on my mind in fact

      Yes true enough like you said. You never know, I might even date or get hitched with maybe your aunt or friends? .. Scary thought eh?

      • fitree May 2, 2008 at 11:14 am - Reply

        NOOOOOOO!!!!! why must it be my aunt or friends?!?!? hahaha

        but it’ll be cool to see you with someone i know. *craves for nasi orang kahwin*

        • Uncle Sha May 2, 2008 at 1:51 pm - Reply

          oooit tak boleh ke … haha

  4. Faddy May 3, 2008 at 10:41 am - Reply

    tu la dulu aku nak dengan kau.. kau taknak…

    • Uncle Sha May 3, 2008 at 11:42 am - Reply

      Aisey man … I terlambat lah, you dah attached :p

      • Faddy May 3, 2008 at 10:32 pm - Reply

        hahah next time okay :P

  5. eddy May 4, 2008 at 1:02 am - Reply

    hahahahha.. NEXT TIME okay ker FADDY?!?!?!
    wahahahahha..
    lepak.. punya lah lepak!!!
    terbahak bahak hang batuk!!
    wahahahahahha

    • Faddy May 4, 2008 at 11:02 pm - Reply

      ehem ehem meh sini mak tepukkan belakang.

      • Uncle Sha May 4, 2008 at 11:12 pm - Reply

        Batuk & tepuk aper ni

        I masih suci innocent tau

        Dun corrupt me ok

        :p

  6. turnright May 9, 2008 at 2:46 am - Reply

    u look like someone who socializes alot….just be more active in asking girls for their numbers & getting to know them.
    you’ll definitely find a steady girlfriend soon. Or maybe…can try looking at different places & not keep going back to the same place. You might be in for a surprise then :P

    • Uncle Sha May 9, 2008 at 1:18 pm - Reply

      Yup will do so … Well I’ve thought of going to places I don’t usually frequent, but I feel out of place

      Nice nickname … my nick used to be “to the left, to the left” :p

  7. yanni August 3, 2008 at 4:12 pm - Reply

    too cerewet and busy maybe… :)

    • Uncle Sha January 4, 2009 at 12:38 pm - Reply

      Maybe babe, I just don’t want to settle for anything less

  8. Jules kasem August 16, 2009 at 10:06 pm - Reply

    haha hilarious post!
    wonder if that formula applies for ladies as well?…!

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